TLT Elliott Wave Analysis (2026)
TLT tracks long-term US Treasury bonds. It is a key indicator for interest rate expectations and serves as the primary risk-off instrument.
- Symbol
- TLT
- Asset class
- US Indexes
- Timeframes
- H4 + Daily
- Cadence
- Weekly Monday refresh
- Full name
- iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT wave structures reflect the interest rate cycle. Multi-year impulse waves correspond to rate hiking/cutting cycles. The current structure from the 2020 high provides macro context for all equity analysis.
Key levels at $85, $95, $105. Fed policy decisions create sharp wave transitions.
TLT wave counts provide essential macro context. A bullish TLT impulse (rates falling) typically supports equity wave 3 extensions.
H4 Wave Count
4-hour timeframe for precise entry timing
Daily Wave Count
Primary trading timeframe structure
Weekly Wave Count
Macro context and trend direction
Fibonacci Targets
Precise price targets from wave structure
Invalidation Levels
Exact price where the count is wrong
Alternative Scenario
What happens if the primary count fails
Every TLT wave count follows the same five-step process Artavest analysts apply to all 108 instruments: identify the active wave degree, count the impulse and corrective structure, apply Fibonacci targeting, mark the explicit invalidation level, and stamp a directional bias plus confidence rating.
Wave Degree
Identify which wave degree is active on H4 and Daily.
Count Structure
Apply 5-wave impulse + 3-wave corrective rules.
Fibonacci Targets
Project 1.618×, 2.618×, 4.236× extensions.
Invalidation Level
Mark the exact price that breaks the count.
See the full process at Our Methodology or browse the 137-term Elliott Wave glossary.
TLT Elliott Wave — FAQ
What is the current TLT Elliott Wave count?
Artavest Pro publishes weekly TLT Elliott Wave analysis across H4 and Daily timeframes, refreshed every Monday before US market open. Each refresh includes the primary wave count, an alternative scenario, Fibonacci-based targets, and an explicit invalidation level. Subscribe to access the live wave count.
How does Elliott Wave behave on TLT?
TLT wave structures reflect the interest rate cycle. Multi-year impulse waves correspond to rate hiking/cutting cycles. The current structure from the 2020 high provides macro context for all equity analysis.
What are the key TLT levels to watch?
Key levels at $85, $95, $105. Fed policy decisions create sharp wave transitions.
How often is TLT Elliott Wave analysis updated?
TLT wave counts are refreshed every Monday before US market open. When the count materially changes mid-week — a key level breaks or invalidation triggers — Artavest publishes an immediate alert to subscribers.
Is Elliott Wave reliable for TLT?
Elliott Wave provides probabilistic forecasts, not guarantees. Artavest publishes a public track record so subscribers can verify accuracy themselves — every TLT call is tagged HIT, CORRECT, INVALIDATED, or INCORRECT on resolution. TLT wave counts provide essential macro context. A bullish TLT impulse (rates falling) typically supports equity wave 3 extensions.
Get Weekly TLT Analysis
Refreshed every Monday before US market open, with mid-week alerts when wave counts change. H4 and Daily wave counts with precise Fibonacci targets.